Kentucky Derby Sleepers 2018
Hence won the Sunland Derby (G3) and while most Kentucky Derby winners come out of Kentucky, New York, Florida or Southern California, let’s not forget about Mine That Bird, who used the race as a prep for his huge upset in 2009, and Firing Line, the winner of the 2015 Sunland Derby who came back to run second in the Run for the Roses. Expert Picks at the Kentucky Derby. The 2021 Kentucky Derby is the 147th renewal of The Greatest Two Minutes in Sports. Live odds, betting, horse bios, travel info, tickets, news, and updates from Churchill Downs Race Track.
The 2018 running of the Kentucky Derby is still a few weeks away, but the field is slowly beginning to take shape. The majority of the contenders figure to be 3-year-old horses, but there are a couple of 2-year-olds raising eyebrows. Good Magic (who recently turned 3) and Bolt d’Oro have been flashing excellent form of late, so they need not be overlooked as the event draws closer.
Kentucky Derby 2018 post positions: Justify draws No. 7 spot, remains favorite over Mendelssohn, Magnum Moon Jockey Mike Smith earned his first career Derby win. He was also aboard Giancomo in his. 2017 Kentucky Derby Sleeper Picks and Predictions Girvin. This colt is coming in with serious momentum from a pair of Grade 2 victories at the Risen Star Stakes and Louisiana Derby, which also placed him atop of the Kentucky Derby leaderboard with a total of 152 points. Winning the Kentucky Derby and eventually the Triple Crown are some of the most prestigious titles in all of sports. While the 2019 race is the 145th 'Run for the Roses,' only 13 horses have gone.
Bolt d’Oro was the odds-on favorite to win the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile but wound up finishing third. The colt was slowed by a pulled muscle, but he returned for the Grade II San Felipe at Santa Anita Park where he was awarded a controversial victory in March. Good Magic won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile before struggling to a third-place finish at the Grade II Fountain of Youth in Florida last month.
Kentucky Derby Sleepers 2018 Schedule
The field of 20 horses has not yet been finalized, but we can still scour the potential field for undervalued sleepers. Here are a few horses that may become household names by beating the odds on Derby day in May.
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Promises Fulfilled (+8500)
Promises Fulfilled actually won the aforementioned Grade II Fountain of Youth wire-to-wire. That victory will likely propel the colt into the field for the Kentucky Derby on the first Saturday in May. While the Fountain of Youth triumph was a smashing success, Promises Fulfilled followed that up by a lackluster performance at the Florida Derby.
Despite opening as one of the favorites to win at 3-1, Promises Fulfilled struggled to a dead-last ninth-place finish at Gulfstream Park. Jockey Robby Albarado was frustrated after the poor showing, saying, “It’s crazy because our strategy has been documented and publicized, that we’re going to the front at all costs.
Promises Fulfilled and Strike Power each surged to the front early, but the start may have been to quick for either horse to maintain that pace. They would go on to finish eighth and ninth, respectively, in the race ultimately won by another Derby contender, Audible.
It’ll be interesting to see whether the strategy at Churchill Downs will be different than the one we saw fail at Gulfstream Park. If the trainer’s words are any indication, however, it sounds as though the plan will remain the same. Trainer Dale Romans said, “You live by the sword, you die by the sword. We went wire-to-wire last time, but that doesn’t mean we don’t regroup and go back in the Derby.”
At +8500, Promises Fulfilled certainly won’t be listed among the betting favorites. While the chalk has a solid history at the Kentucky Derby, you don’t need to look any further than last year’s race to see that anything can happen. Promises Fulfilled is a longshot, but the aggressive fast-start strategy makes the colt an appealing flier bet.
Gronkowski (+5000)
I know what you’re thinking, and yes, this horse is actually named after New England Patriots All-Pro tight end Rob Gronkowski. We’ve seen a number of Patriots players, including Gronkowski, Tom Brady and others, attend the Derby in the past. With a horse in the field, it’s safe to assume we’ll see Gronk show up at Churchill Downs again in 2018.
The horse, not the NFL player, sealed his spot in the Derby by winning the Burradon Stakes in England on April 6. The horse’s owner, Kerri Radcliffe, is a self-proclaimed Patriots fan and named him after Gronkowski because both the horse and the player stand 6’5” tall.
For the first time ever, the race has reserved one spot in the 20-horse field for a thoroughbred out of Europe. Gronkowski is the one to earn this year’s spot, having placed first in each of his last 4 races. Gronkowski’s trainer, Jeremy Noseda, is supremely confident that the horse can surpass expectations on the big stages at Churchill Downs.
After securing their Derby place, Noseda said, “It sounds strange, but I haven’t yet seen on the racetrack what I believe this horse is capable of. I’m sure there’s more to come.” That sounds like one confident trainer, indeed.
Mendelssohn (+525), another Europe-based Derby hopeful, will now have to qualify for the race via the traditional Kentucky Derby leaderboard. He can secure his place with a win at the UAE Derby this weekend.
Runaway Ghost (+4500)
I challenge you to find a cooler name for a horse than Runaway Ghost. There are some nifty names out there, but this one takes the cake for me. It sounds mysterious and intimidating at the same time. Of course, this has nothing to do with whether the horse can or will win the Kentucky Derby, so let’s move on.
Runaway Ghost will be the first horse from New Mexico to run in the Kentucky Derby since 2009. The last horse to do so was Mine That Bird, which happened to go on to win the Derby as the biggest underdog in the history of the race. So, that’s a solid precedent.
Runaway Ghost ran his way into the Derby by winning the Sunland Derby in March, earning the 50 necessary qualification points. The colt is trained by Todd Fincher and will be ridden by veteran jockey Tracy Hebert at Churchill Downs.
Despite the fact that Hebert has logged over 4,000 victories over the course of his lengthy career, this will be the jockey’s first-ever chance to ride at the Derby. An inexperienced jockey may be something of a red flag, but Hebert certainly isn’t lacking in that department on a macro scale. He became the 72nd North American jockey to win at least 4,000 races last November.
Hebert is excited about the chance. He said,
“I’ve rode everything in Kentucky but the Derby. It’s a blessing. Coming here to New Mexico and getting another one, a second one out of New Mexico with Mine That Bird being the other; to come here and capture another Derby horse, it’s awesome. It’s a good feeling.”
Kentucky Derby Sleepers 2018
Both horse and jockey will head to Kentucky from New Mexico on April 17, where they’ll train until the Derby itself on March 5. Runaway Ghost has won 4 of his 7 starts thus far, though he obviously remains quite the long shot given the talent in the Derby field. I wouldn’t say wagering a ton on Runaway Ghost is the smartest way to spend your cash, but a small flier bet isn’t the worst idea in the world.
Please enable JavaScript to view the comments powered by Disqus.The 2018 Kentucky Derby arrives in just a matter of days, and bettors finally have an official field to work with.
Justify leads the way as the clear favorite with most horse racing betting sites (at around +350) and offers more value than yournormal first-place lock.
In addition, a less-than-obvious Kentucky Derby looks more wide open than past years, with several horses potentially giving Justify a run for his money.
While this could very well still be Justify’s race to lose, Mendelssohn (+500) and Audible (+650) head a five-pack of viable contenders that could threaten for the top spot.
Kentucky Derby Sleepers 2018 Fantasy
As tantalizing and “safe” as those horses come off, there are still 14 other horses competing in this race.
Considering how nothing is close to cemented up front, bettors may want to draw back the curtain and take a gander at the betting value lurking behind the would-be frontrunners.
Kentucky Derby Sleepers 2018 Draft
Is there a mild sleeper worth targeting or a longshot that deserves a flier bet? There might actually be a few, but these six horses catch our eye the most and may be worth your time (and money).